Epstein Secrets

Y reached 100 on the Brexit vote as we argued in $/¥’s eventual surge: Buy Nikkei O06 September 2016. In fact, the USD/JPY has stopped falling during Tokyo trading hours since the summer. Based on the decline of foreign yields and higher hedge costs, hedged US Treasuries and German bunds had lost nearly

if Draghi succeeds, the Euro could strengthen in the meantime. In contrast, the Bo)’s new framework should address the sustainability challenges that Kuroda faced this year, and allows more fiscal stimulus by keeping the government’s borrowing costs at zero. The ECB cannot do this, in our view. We have be

0yr JGB. However, the Bo) appears to be concerned about the deterioration of financial institution earnings caused by flattening of the yield curve. Kuroda said that even if superlong-term yields rose slightly, he did not believe they would have to be lowered. He went on to say he was also giving conside

k Alan Ruskin Daniel Brehon Dreusio GiacomoIli Guilherme Marone Singapore Sameer Goel Ma'like Sadie!eye Perry Kojodjojo Sydney Adam Boyton Tokyo Teisuke Tanaka Head of FX Strategy Bilel Hafeez Deutsche Bank AG/London DISCLOSURES AND ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS ARE LOCATED IN APPENDIX 1. MICA(P

tly, markets need not fear the absence of further easing by the Bank if, as seems likely, the consumption tax hike in Q2 passed smoothly. Governor Kuroda has also made clear that Japan's massive money expansion will continue until the 2% core CPI target is not only achieved but deemed secure on a su

ew York Alan Ruskin Daniel Brehon Drausio Giacomelli Guilherme Marone Mauro Roca Singapore Sameer Goel Mallika Sachdeva Sydney John Horner Tokyo Taisuke Tanaka Head of FX Strategy Bilal Hafeez Deutsche Bank AG/London DISCLOSURES AND ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS ARE LOCATED IN APPENDIX 1. MICA(P

ding out for the eventual benefits of (Schumpeterian) creative destruction, while Shirakawa was resigned to the structural drag from demographics. Kuroda has taken a leaf out of the Fed's much more activist playbook, raising the stakes (promising almost three times as much QE) and taking a lead in ta

edge demand 08 . .end on.•,:nd 10 12 14 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 James Malcolm, London, (+44)20754 50884 Taisuke Tanaka, Tokyo +87 (03)5156 671J Doutscho Bank AG/London CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00253628 DB-SDNY-0 107444 EFTA0

evated. Our end-2014 and 2015 USD/JPY forecasts of 115 and 120 are reiterated with upside risks. For a convincing exposition of this assertion. see Kuroda's recent speech: ID8ps.thyve.v bcises/flAnnouncementgkes,Soer 2013/01.3A413122.5 ) 1 00 Page 6 Relative base money growth will only point higher

ymakers that premature fiscal tightening is counter-productive for reflation efforts, especially when monetary policy is stretched. Even Bo) Governor Kuroda, who initially underplayed the risks from 2014 fiscal tightening, has recently acknowledged that loose monetary and fiscal policies will have a “syne

Nov 30 (to be extended) Extraordinary Diet session (supplementary budget, TPP, tax-hike delay, casino bill) Nov 15 Japan-Russia trade officials meet (Tokyo) Nov 17 Abe, Trump meet in New York Nov 19-20 Abe, Putin meet at APEC (progress on territorial issue a key public concern) Dec 8 Jul-Sep GDP 2nd prel