Epstein Secrets

ra. The yen has fallen markedly; competitor nations such as Korea have seen their currencies weaken, while suppliers to Japan such as Thailand and Malaysia have seen their currencies strengthen. Through all of this the dollar has marched higher even with the market wavering over an early move to taper

rt USD/MXN, sell EUR/BRL and EUR/CLP Theme #10: Turning Up the Volume: Buy USD/GBP variance swap and AUD/USD variance swap Research Team London Bilal Hafeez James Malcolm Henrik Gullberg George Saravelos Caio Natividade Siddharth Kapoor Oliver Harvey Nicholas Weng New York Alan Ruskin Daniel Bre

- 8.47 8.49 8.54 Source: Datastream, Reuters, Bloomberg Finance LP, DB forecasts Hungary Indonesia IDR/USD 9,686 9,950 9,900 9,850 (Fwd. Rates) Malaysia MYR/USD 3.10 3.07 3.05 3.02 (Fwd. Rates) 3.12 3.13 3.16 Philippines PHP/USD 40.7 40.4 39.9 39.3 (Fwd. Rates) 40.7 40.7 40.8 Singapore SGD/USD 1

ange Rate Perspectives The Dollar is Back How China Rebalancing, the Great Rotation to the US and Abenomics Will Change the World Research Team Bilal Hafeez Strategist Deutsche Bank AG/London DISCLOSURES AND ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS ARE LOCATED IN APPENDIX 1. MICA(P) 072/04/2012. Foreign Exchange Glob

preciated 28 India — range bound until post-election outlook clearer 29 Indonesia — first stress test since 1997; equities expensive 31 Malaysia — low-beta but fundamentally without merit 33 Thailand — tempting only to a tactical contrarian 34 Philippines — superior fundamentals more

have entered the theoretically closed capital account to play the anticipated appreciation of the Renminbi but DB FX strategists James Malcolm and Bilal Hafeez both reckon that the implicit China carry trade runs to at least the mid to high hundreds of billions of dollars. If they are correct, then China

60.6 61.8 63.9 Indonesia USD/IDR 10278 10500 10500 10000 (Fwd. Rates) Philippines USD/PHP 43.3 42.6 42.3 41.7 (Fwd. Rates) - 10723 11000 11412 Malaysia USD/MYR 3.243.173.153.13 EFTA01464312 (Fwd. Rates) - 3.26 3.27 3.30 - 43.3 43.4 43.6 Singapore USD/SGD 1.27 1.27 1.28 1.30 (Fwd. Rates) - 1.2

ers as to the potential impact of any regulatory provisions noted in this article upon their respective businesses. The author would like to thank Bilal Hafeez and Matt Holmes for their help in writing this report. Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Page 17 EFTA01464337 30 July 2013 Exchange Rate Perspecti