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versification drive introduced by the NTP follows the typical macro template, in our view. We discuss in a later section diversification lessons from Malaysia and Norway and conclude that the NTP contains elements from these successful case studies. In particular, it a) identifies key sectors with relativel
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_016124 →12 months, an investment banking client of MLPF&S and/or one or more of its affiliates: BAE SYSTEMS, Dubai, Qatar, Qatar (Central Bank), SABIC, Saudi Telecom, THALES, Yansab. MLPF&S or an affiliate has received compensation from the issuer for non-investment banking services or products within the past 12
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_016193 →<<Presentation Title>>
ile IT is a preferred cyclical sectors. We also like Energy. e We are cautious on Materials, where we expect margin pressure to continue, as well as Telecom and Utilities, due to high valuations. Strategic (1 to 2 years) °¢ We like medium-sized US companies, which should benefit from robust earnings gro
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024149 →hard landing) hit trade and thus the economic prospects of emerging markets. In this case, we would expect a 25% decline in earnings. More defensive Malaysia would do better, whereas more cyclical Korea and Taiwan would underperform. We assume, however, that the market would also be expecting some recovery
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024154 →and Thailand; the other is a victim of government intervention, as in Korea and China. The two worlds can coexist in the same country, for example in Malaysia where independent power producers enjoy solid power purchase agreements while utility Tenaga, which is a large employer and which faces the consumer
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024211 →46.1 237.2 62% Industrial 101.4 155.8 54% Consumer Staples 104.7 160.5 53% Health Care 89.1 128.4 44% Energy 181.9 238.9 31% Financials 63.0 82.0 30% Telecom 51.0 56.9 12% Utilities 113.4 100.9 -11% Source: Bloomberg e Reasons for Underperformance Much of this recent underperformance can be explained by
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024216 →Entities connected to both Malaysia and Telecom

Barack Obama
PERSON
Columbia University
LOCATION
Chile
LOCATION
Hungary
LOCATION
Marc Rich
PERSON
Belgium
LOCATION
Norway
LOCATION
Saudi Arabia
LOCATION
Yemen
LOCATION
Middle East
LOCATION
U.S. Treasury
ORGANIZATION
Riyadh
LOCATION
Sudan
LOCATION
the Ministry of Finance
ORGANIZATION
Western Europe
LOCATION
Eric Holder
PERSON
Health Care
ORGANIZATION
Moody’s
ORGANIZATIONthe European Central Bank
ORGANIZATION