Epstein Secrets

.0 61 7.1 Hong Kong 50 1.2 3.2 2A -OA India 6.5 5.6 6.0 6.1 5.3 Indonesia 6.5 5/ 3.5 4.7 t ILO 1 Korea 3.6 2.3 3.2 3.5 1.1 Malaysia 5.1 LOT 3.71' 5.8 51 Philippines 3.8 5.3 35 121 01 Singapore 4.9 11 1 2.5 1 9.51 417 Taman 4.0 1.2 3.4 1.6 2.2 Thafazd 0.1

of the tumbling equity market. President Obama's re-election perhaps also diminishes expectations of a change in course at the Fed. • The ECB and the Bank of England stood pat at their policy meetings this week, but the latter delivered a curveball today, announcing that its net coupon income from QE would be tr

ew poor or poorer countries that remained in the world trading system; countries such as Japan, Italy, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia, saw breakneck growth, moving from subsistence agriculture to industrialisation in a generation. In the West full employment artificially increased

of nebulous market efficiencies. The 'Barber Boom' of the early 1970's ended with a spectacular crash and the 'secondary banking crisis' in which the Bank of England had to launch the 'lifeboat' to rescue thirty or so banks in the UK's very own dry run of the credit crunch. Despite this early warning, deregulatio

Settlements BLS: Bureau of Labor Statistics BOE: Bank of England BOJ: Bank of Japan CAGR: compound annual growth

and the resulting consensus view that the UK was destined for recession. Although the 20% decline in the trade-weighted sterling and rapid easing by the Bank of England were no doubt pivotal in avoiding that fate, the immediate impact of the Brexit referendum has been far less destructive than feared. But as we begi

urce: Investment Strategy Group, Emerging Advisors Group, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research. both China and the US, such as Korea, Taiwan and Malaysia, would be particularly vulnerable. While the net effect of these competing forces is positive in our base case, the risks are tilted to the downside

k of England supports equities. Key date: 8 Nov, Bank of England policy meeting 2 UBS Recommendations Tactical

ding to market capitalization. Developments in commodity prices affect earnings estimates. Commodity prices Policy action Loose monetary policy by the Bank of England supports equities. Key date: 8 Nov, Bank of England policy meeting 2 UBS Recommendations Tactical (6 months) e The UK offers an attractive 4% di

Chinese growth could each hit EM's economic prospects. In such a scenario, we would expect a 20% decline in earnings over six months. More defensive Malaysia would do better, whereas more cyclical South Korea and Russia would underperform. We assume, however, that the market would also be expecting some re

Accountability & Reflection As the Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney said in 2015, the “crisis and its af

d.” The countries with the most long-term economic growth potential are arguably those with young, growing populations—namely, India, Indone- sia and Malaysia. However, these countries have small eq- uity markets that, when combined, do not even equal South Korea's in size. CAPE ratios are lower outside th

odels to help predict global economic trends. Died Oct. 20. Jamalul Kiram Ill, 75. A Philippine sultan, who waged an armed struggle for control over Malaysia’s Sabah state, an area rich in natural resources. Died Oct. 20 of kidney disease. Juliette Moran, 96. She joined GAF Corp. in 1943 when it was a New

a supporter of the medical use of marijuana. Died Nov. 23 of a heart attack at his home in Coconut Grove, Florida. Robin Leigh-Pemberton, 86. He was Bank of England governor from 1983 to 1993. Died Nov. 24. Matthew Bucksbaum, 87. The co-founder of General Growth Properties Inc., the second-biggest U.S. owner of

ment in 2H 2012. Still, economic activity is likely to remain very sluggish despite support from lower oil prices and less rigorous fiscal austerity. The Bank of England may support the UK economy by increasing its amount of bond purchases soon. The probability that the ECB will take further action to support the econ

hard landing) hit trade and thus the economic prospects of emerging markets. In this case, we would expect a 25% decline in earnings. More defensive Malaysia would do better, whereas more cyclical Korea and Taiwan would underperform. We assume, however, that the market would also be expecting some recovery

ream of the tumbling equity market. President Obama’s re-election perhaps also diminishes expectations of a change in course at the Fed. The ECB and the Bank of England stood pat at their policy meetings this week, but the latter delivered a curveball today, announcing that its net coupon income from QE would be tran

Oo) 5.0 58 6.0 68 84 10.1 98 9.0 Indonesia 65 57 3.5 477 6.0. 4.9 T 3.0 3.0 40 40 41 45 3.9 2.2 Korea 3.6 23 3.2 25 1.1 0.6 35 3.0 40 45 40 24 19 3.0 Malaysia 51 5.0 t 3.7 t 58 59 25 3.5 T 3.5 T 3.0 3.5 3.2 d 1.1 2 Philippines 3.8 53 35 12.6 0.9 12 2 45 45 45 47 29 23 23 Singapore 49 154 2.54 95) -07 3.90 3