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The J.P. Morgan View: Local forces are dominating
na. As within DM, we see a lot of divergences within EM and prefer to focus on under-owned markets with good domestic demand story such as Mexico and Malaysia. See "Consensus Asset Allocation", Adrian Mowat and team, Mar 26th. Open overweights in Mexican and Malaysia equities vs MSCI EM. • For long-term inv
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030845 →d rising growth expectations (chart of right) are ultimately bullish for the currency. Watch next week's BoJ meeting, led by newly appointed Governor Kuroda, for new reflationary measures. • The Euro area economy remains in recession, while policy makers are making little effort to reverse the contraction
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030845 →The J.P. Morgan View: Local forces are dominating
na. As within DM, we see a lot of divergences within EM and prefer to focus on under-owned markets with good domestic demand story such as Mexico and Malaysia. See "Consensus Asset Allocation", Adrian Mowat and team, Mar 26th. Open overweights in Mexican and Malaysia equities vs MSCI EM. • For long-term inv
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031115 →d rising growth expectations (chart of right) are ultimately bullish for the currency. Watch next week's BoJ meeting, led by newly appointed Governor Kuroda, for new reflationary measures. • The Euro area economy remains in recession, while policy makers are making little effort to reverse the contraction
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031115 →be artificially suppressed by controls. When looking at 16 countries with severe capital controls based on IMF indicators (Algeria, Angola, China, Malaysia, Tunisia, Cote d'Ivoire. India. Morocco, Pakistan, Philippines, Sri Lanka, Swaziland. Tanzania, Togo, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan), we find that bitcoin
ow appreciate freely if Eurozone data keeps improving. BoJ only dovish major central bank The BoJ left its policy unchanged this week and Governor Kuroda justified the current policy framework amid sluggish price developments. With little expected from the BoJ prior to the meeting, it was a non-event
in this report are not registered credit rating agencies in Japan unless "Japan" or "Nippon" is specifically designated in the name of the entity. Malaysia: Deutsche Bank AG and/or its affiliate(s) may maintain positions in the securities referred to herein and may from time to time offer those securiti
tly, markets need not fear the absence of further easing by the Bank if, as seems likely, the consumption tax hike in Q2 passed smoothly. Governor Kuroda has also made clear that Japan's massive money expansion will continue until the 2% core CPI target is not only achieved but deemed secure on a su
ra. The yen has fallen markedly; competitor nations such as Korea have seen their currencies weaken, while suppliers to Japan such as Thailand and Malaysia have seen their currencies strengthen. Through all of this the dollar has marched higher even with the market wavering over an early move to taper
ding out for the eventual benefits of (Schumpeterian) creative destruction, while Shirakawa was resigned to the structural drag from demographics. Kuroda has taken a leaf out of the Fed's much more activist playbook, raising the stakes (promising almost three times as much QE) and taking a lead in ta
if Draghi succeeds, the Euro could strengthen in the meantime. In contrast, the Bo)’s new framework should address the sustainability challenges that Kuroda faced this year, and allows more fiscal stimulus by keeping the government’s borrowing costs at zero. The ECB cannot do this, in our view. We have be
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014748 →ents to rotate without too much disruption. We would expect China’s inclusion to account for 10% of the JPM GBI-EM Global Diversified index. Turkey, Malaysia, S. Africa, and Thailand would lose the largest shares in the index, while the shares of Brazil, Mexico, Poland and Indonesia are expected to remain
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014765 →0yr JGB. However, the Bo) appears to be concerned about the deterioration of financial institution earnings caused by flattening of the yield curve. Kuroda said that even if superlong-term yields rose slightly, he did not believe they would have to be lowered. He went on to say he was also giving conside
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014776 →d rising growth expectations (chart of right) are ultimately bullish for the currency. Watch next week's BoJ meeting, led by newly appointed Governor Kuroda, for new reflationary measures. • The Euro area economy remains in recession, while policy makers are making little effort to reverse the contraction
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030849 →na. As within DM, we see a lot of divergences within EM and prefer to focus on under-owned markets with good domestic demand story such as Mexico and Malaysia. See "Consensus Asset Allocation", Adrian Mowat and team, Mar 26th. Open overweights in Mexican and Malaysia equities vs MSCI EM. • For long-term inv
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030850 →Entities connected to both Malaysia and Kuroda

Jeffrey Epstein
PERSON
New Zealand
LOCATION
Philippines
LOCATION
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
United States
LOCATION
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Donald Trump
PERSON
Columbia University
LOCATION
Chile
LOCATION
Hungary
LOCATION
Marc Rich
PERSON
Norway
LOCATION
Venezuela
LOCATION
Michigan
LOCATION
Hong Kong
LOCATION
Deutsche Bank
ORGANIZATION
John F. Kennedy
PERSON
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Romania
LOCATION
JPMorgan Chase
ORGANIZATION