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-11 Jan-12 Sell Calls on 10yr Treasuries 4.5% - 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% - 2.5% - 2.0% • 1.5% - 1.0% • Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 —10yr US Treasury %IC Source: Bloomberg, J.P. Morgan 10 Buy MXN Peso 16 - 15 • 14 13 - 12 11 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 —Mexi
tios are at Historic Lows Jan-10 Apr-10 Source: Bloomberg, As of 1/4/12 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 9 Utilities, Healthcare, Telecom I Financials, Materials, Industrials Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 J.P.Morgan EFTA_R1_02049751 EFTA02696373 Tactical Opportunities Tactical Trading Opportunities <N
Quantitative Analysis
r EPS estimated impact from 20% rate 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% Financials Discretionary Telecom Staples Industrials Health Care Energy Materials Info Tech Real Estate Source: BofAML US Equity & Quant Strategy, FactSet, S&P While the effective tax rate of the S&P 500 is generally about 28% (cu
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023073 →nonprofit educational facilities Education 660 Special Blue Cross/Blue Shield tax benefits Health 630 Source: BofAML US Equity & Quant Strategy, US Department of Treasury Immediate capex expensing should provide some initial cash tax benefits The shift to the immediate expensing of capital expenditures should provide
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023084 →<<Presentation Title>>
see also slide 21). Our sector stance in the US Sectors us Consumer Discretionary v Consumer Staples Energy Financials Healthcare ndustrials T Materials Telecom ee; e 1 ulvl vey viaya Utilities Source: UBS CIO, as of 28 June 2012 Note: Past performance is not an indication of future returns. 14
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024149 →kets over the medium term. Valuations remain attractive, and the potential for spreads to trend lower should more than offset the gradual increase in US Treasury yields in the quarters ahead. We continue to prefer increasing exposure to corporate bonds while keeping existing investments in sovereign bonds. 36
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024158 →taples Energy Financials Healthcare ndustrials 7 aterials Telecom Utilities Vielvi Viel ule; ulale Source
uld spike. Note: Scenarios refer to global economic scenarios (see slide 7) What we're watching Why it matters Core market yields The direction of US Treasury and German Bund yields are important for EM fixed income spreads, especially for USD- and EUR-denominated bonds. Key date: Dec 6, European Central Ba
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025275 →Entities connected to both U.S. Treasury and Materials

Jeffrey Epstein
PERSON
Donald Trump
PERSON
Barack Obama
PERSON
Marc Rich
PERSON
UBS AG
ORGANIZATION
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Federal Reserve
ORGANIZATION
Malaysia
LOCATION
Hong Kong
LOCATION
Belgium
LOCATION
Hungary
LOCATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Eric Holder
PERSON
Norway
LOCATIONUtilities
ORGANIZATION
Western Europe
LOCATION
Paul Volcker
PERSON
North America
LOCATION
Reuters
ORGANIZATIONThe Monetary Authority of Singapore
ORGANIZATION